Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Washington State Cougars at Oregon State Beavers

All Washington State Cougars predictions · All Oregon State Beavers predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 6:06 PM · Final: 30-48

The model's call
Oregon State Beavers to win
Model confidence 88.1%
Books consensus 88.1%
Result Oregon State Beavers won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Washington State CougarsOregon State Beavers
BetMGM +750 -1100
BetRivers +700 -1250
DraftKings +650 -1240
ESPN BET +700 -1200
FanDuel +720 -1200
Hard Rock Bet +700 -1300
Novig +852 -900
Caesars +700 -1200

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Oregon State −18.5
priced 50.2% to cover · 7 books
Washington State Cougars covered +18.5
Total · closing
O/U 52.5
priced 49.4% over · 6 books, 1 on another number
Over 52.5 (78 scored)
Spread by book Washington StateOregon State
BetMGM +18.5 -108 −18.5 -110
BetRivers +18.5 -110 −18.5 -112
DraftKings +18.5 -114 −18.5 -117
ESPN BET +18.5 -105 −18.5 -115
FanDuel +18.5 -110 −18.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +18.5 -110 −18.5 -110
Caesars +18.5 -107 −18.5 -113
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 52.5 -105 52.5 -115
BetRivers 52.5 -108 52.5 -115
DraftKings 52.5 -112 52.5 -119
ESPN BET 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
FanDuel 52.5 -108 52.5 -112
Hard Rock Bet 51.5 -115 51.5 -105
Caesars 52.5 -108 52.5 -113
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