Arkansas Razorbacks at Vanderbilt Commodores
All Arkansas Razorbacks predictions · All Vanderbilt Commodores predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:05 PM · Final: 31-21
The model's call
Vanderbilt Commodores to win
Model confidence 65.7%
Books consensus 65.7%
Result Arkansas Razorbacks won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Arkansas Razorbacks | Vanderbilt Commodores |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +180 | -220 |
| BetRivers | +175 | -220 |
| DraftKings | +185 | -225 |
| ESPN BET | +180 | -215 |
| FanDuel | +172 | -210 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +175 | -220 |
| Novig | +194 | -199 |
| Caesars | +180 | -218 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Vanderbilt −5.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 6 books, 1 on another number
opened Vanderbilt −6
Arkansas Razorbacks covered +5.5
Total · closing
O/U 48.5
priced 50.0% over · 7 books
opened 50.5
Over 48.5 (52 scored)
| Spread by book | Arkansas | Vanderbilt |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +6 -110 | −6 -108 |
| BetRivers | +5.5 -112 | −5.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | +5.5 -110 | −5.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +5.5 -115 | −5.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +5.5 -108 | −5.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +5.5 -110 | −5.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +5.5 -106 | −5.5 -114 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 48.5 -108 | 48.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 48.5 -114 | 48.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 48.5 -105 | 48.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -105 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.