Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Kent State Golden Flashes at South Florida Bulls

All Kent State Golden Flashes predictions · All South Florida Bulls predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Final: 2-29

The model's call
South Florida Bulls to win
Model confidence 90.9%
Books consensus 90.9%
Result South Florida Bulls won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Kent State Golden FlashesSouth Florida Bulls
BetMGM +950 -1400
BetRivers +1100 -3335
DraftKings +850 -1450
ESPN BET +900 -1800
FanDuel +980 -2000
Hard Rock Bet +1100 -3000
Novig +1011 -1150
Caesars +850 -1450

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
South Florida −20.5
priced 50.5% to cover · 6 books, 1 on another number
South Florida Bulls covered −20.5
Total · closing
O/U 46.5
priced 49.5% over · 7 books
opened 45.5
Under 46.5 (31 scored)
Spread by book Kent StateSouth Florida
BetMGM +20.5 -108 −20.5 -110
BetRivers +21 -112 −21 -113
DraftKings +20.5 -105 −20.5 -115
ESPN BET +20.5 -110 −20.5 -110
FanDuel +20.5 -110 −20.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +20.5 +100 −20.5 -120
Caesars +20.5 -107 −20.5 -114
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 46.5 -108 46.5 -110
BetRivers 46.5 -109 46.5 -114
DraftKings 46.5 -108 46.5 -112
ESPN BET 46.5 -105 46.5 -115
FanDuel 46.5 -110 46.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 46.5 -105 46.5 -110
Caesars 46.5 -106 46.5 -114
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