Notre Dame Fighting Irish at BYU Cougars
All Notre Dame Fighting Irish predictions · All BYU Cougars predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:44 PM · Final: 24-28
The model's call
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Model confidence 77.7%
Books consensus 77.7%
Result BYU Cougars won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | BYU Cougars |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -425 | +333 |
| BetRivers | -480 | +340 |
| DraftKings | -410 | +320 |
| ESPN BET | -425 | +320 |
| Fanatics | -425 | +325 |
| FanDuel | -480 | +360 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -475 | +350 |
| Novig | -365 | +344 |
| Caesars | -420 | +320 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Notre Dame −10.5
priced 50.5% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
BYU Cougars covered +10.5
Total · closing
O/U 47.5
priced 49.6% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
Over 47.5 (52 scored)
| Spread by book | Notre Dame | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −11 -108 | +11 -110 |
| BetRivers | −11 -109 | +11 -114 |
| DraftKings | −10.5 -110 | +10.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | −10.5 -115 | +10.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | −10.5 -110 | +10.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | −10.5 -118 | +10.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −10.5 -120 | +10.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −10.5 -110 | +10.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 47.5 -108 | 47.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 47 -114 | 47 -109 |
| DraftKings | 47.5 -108 | 47.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 47.5 -104 | 47.5 -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 47.5 -105 | 47.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 47.5 -105 | 47.5 -115 |
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