Oklahoma State Cowboys at Houston Cougars
All Oklahoma State Cowboys predictions · All Houston Cougars predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:35 PM · Final: 32-35
The model's call
Houston Cougars to win
Model confidence 61.7%
Books consensus 61.7%
Result Houston Cougars won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Houston Cougars |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 |
| BetRivers | +148 | -186 |
| DraftKings | +154 | -185 |
| ESPN BET | +150 | -175 |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 |
| FanDuel | +152 | -184 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +150 | -180 |
| Novig | +160 | -163 |
| Caesars | +153 | -182 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Houston −4
priced 49.8% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Houston −4.5
Oklahoma State Cowboys covered +4
Total · closing
O/U 62.5
priced 49.9% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
Over 62.5 (67 scored)
| Spread by book | Oklahoma State | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +4 -110 | −4 -108 |
| BetRivers | +4 -114 | −4 -109 |
| DraftKings | +4 -112 | −4 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +4.5 -115 | −4.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +4 -110 | −4 -110 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -105 | −3.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -110 | −3.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +4 -108 | −4 -112 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 61.5 -112 | 61.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 62.5 -110 | 62.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 62.5 -105 | 62.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 61.5 -120 | 61.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 62 -110 | 62 -110 |
| FanDuel | 62.5 -110 | 62.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 62.5 -110 | 62.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 61.5 -112 | 61.5 -108 |
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