Louisville Cardinals at Syracuse Orange
All Louisville Cardinals predictions · All Syracuse Orange predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:30 PM · Final: 34-26
The model's call
Louisville Cardinals to win
Model confidence 83.2%
Books consensus 83.2%
Result Louisville Cardinals won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Louisville Cardinals | Syracuse Orange |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -625 | +475 |
| BetRivers | -715 | +475 |
| DraftKings | -625 | +455 |
| ESPN BET | -700 | +450 |
| FanDuel | -670 | +470 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -650 | +475 |
| Novig | -545 | +525 |
| Caesars | -650 | +460 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Louisville −14.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 5 books, 2 on another number
Syracuse Orange covered +14.5
Total · closing
O/U 56.5
priced 50.0% over · 5 books, 2 on another number
opened 55.5
Over 56.5 (60 scored)
| Spread by book | Louisville | Syracuse |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −14.5 -105 | +14.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | −15 -113 | +15 -110 |
| DraftKings | −14.5 -105 | +14.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | −14.5 -110 | +14.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | −14.5 -105 | +14.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −15.5 -105 | +15.5 -110 |
| Caesars | −14.5 -108 | +14.5 -112 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 56.5 -110 | 56.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 57 -110 | 57 -113 |
| DraftKings | 56.5 -108 | 56.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 56.5 -110 | 56.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 55.5 -115 | 55.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 56.5 -115 | 56.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 56.5 -106 | 56.5 -114 |
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