Wisconsin Badgers at UCLA Bruins
All Wisconsin Badgers predictions · All UCLA Bruins predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:37 PM · Final: 7-17
The model's call
UCLA Bruins to win
Model confidence 52.2%
Books consensus 52.2%
Result UCLA Bruins won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Wisconsin Badgers | UCLA Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -102 | -118 |
| BetRivers | -103 | -122 |
| DraftKings | +102 | -122 |
| ESPN BET | +100 | -120 |
| Fanatics | +100 | -120 |
| FanDuel | +100 | -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -125 |
| Novig | +106 | -108 |
| Caesars | +104 | -122 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
UCLA −1.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 8 books
opened UCLA −2.5
UCLA Bruins covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 42.5
priced 50.8% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
Under 42.5 (24 scored)
| Spread by book | Wisconsin | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -113 | −1.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -108 | −1.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -108 | −1.5 -112 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 43.5 -102 | 43.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 42.5 -114 | 42.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 42.5 -115 | 42.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 43.5 -114 | 43.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 42.5 -115 | 42.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 43.5 -106 | 43.5 -114 |
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