Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at UL Monroe Warhawks

All Louisiana Tech Bulldogs predictions · All UL Monroe Warhawks predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 8:02 PM · Final: 24-0

The model's call
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win
Model confidence 81.7%
Books consensus 81.7%
Result Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Louisiana Tech BulldogsUL Monroe Warhawks
BetMGM -550 +425
BetRivers -715 +480
DraftKings -575 +425
ESPN BET -600 +400
FanDuel -550 +390
Hard Rock Bet -700 +475
Novig -525 +506
Caesars -560 +400

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Louisiana Tech −13.5
priced 50.4% to cover · 6 books, 1 on another number
opened Louisiana Tech −15.5
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs covered −13.5
Total · closing
O/U 55.5
priced 50.6% over · 4 books, 3 on another number
Under 55.5 (24 scored)
Spread by book Louisiana TechUL Monroe
BetMGM −13 -110 +13 -108
BetRivers −13.5 -113 +13.5 -110
DraftKings −13.5 -112 +13.5 -108
ESPN BET −13.5 -115 +13.5 -105
FanDuel −13.5 -110 +13.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −13.5 -110 +13.5 -110
Caesars −13.5 -113 +13.5 -108
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 55.5 -118 55.5 -110
BetRivers 55.5 -113 55.5 -110
DraftKings 56.5 -108 56.5 -112
ESPN BET 56.5 -105 56.5 -115
FanDuel 55.5 -114 55.5 -106
Hard Rock Bet 55.5 -110 55.5 -110
Caesars 56 -110 56 -109
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