Navy Midshipmen at UTSA Roadrunners
All Navy Midshipmen predictions · All UTSA Roadrunners predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 8:15 PM · Final: 34-38
The model's call
UTSA Roadrunners to win
Model confidence 65.8%
Books consensus 65.8%
Result UTSA Roadrunners won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Navy Midshipmen | UTSA Roadrunners |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +175 | -210 |
| BetRivers | +185 | -235 |
| DraftKings | +180 | -218 |
| ESPN BET | +175 | -210 |
| FanDuel | +180 | -220 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +185 | -230 |
| Novig | +194 | -203 |
| Caesars | +181 | -218 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
UTSA −5.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 5 books, 2 on another number
opened UTSA −6.5
Navy Midshipmen covered +5.5
Total · closing
O/U 53.5
priced 50.0% over · 5 books, 2 on another number
opened 54.5
Over 53.5 (72 scored)
| Spread by book | Navy | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +6 -110 | −6 -108 |
| BetRivers | +5.5 -112 | −5.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | +5.5 -108 | −5.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | +5.5 -110 | −5.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +5.5 -110 | −5.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +5.5 -105 | −5.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +6 -111 | −6 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 53.5 -113 | 53.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 53.5 -108 | 53.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 53.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 54.5 +100 | 54.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 53.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 53.5 -110 | 53.5 -109 |
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