San Jose State Spartans at UTEP Miners
All San Jose State Spartans predictions · All UTEP Miners predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 9:05 PM · Final: 24-11
The model's call
San Jose State Spartans to win
Model confidence 70.1%
Books consensus 70.1%
Result San Jose State Spartans won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Jose State Spartans | UTEP Miners |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -275 | +220 |
| BetRivers | -265 | +205 |
| DraftKings | -270 | +220 |
| ESPN BET | -270 | +220 |
| FanDuel | -275 | +220 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -260 | +210 |
| Novig | -245 | +239 |
| Caesars | -275 | +220 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
San Jose State −6.5
priced 51.9% to cover · 6 books, 1 on another number
opened San Jose State −7
San Jose State Spartans covered −6.5
Total · closing
O/U 46.5
priced 49.9% over · 6 books, 1 on another number
opened 45.5
Under 46.5 (35 scored)
| Spread by book | San Jose State | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −7 -105 | +7 -115 |
| BetRivers | −6.5 -115 | +6.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | −6.5 -120 | +6.5 +100 |
| ESPN BET | −6.5 -120 | +6.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | −6.5 -120 | +6.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −6.5 -115 | +6.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −6.5 -120 | +6.5 -102 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 46.5 -108 | 46.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 46.5 -109 | 46.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | 46.5 -112 | 46.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 45.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -108 | 46.5 -112 |
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