Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Utah Utes at Colorado Buffaloes

All Utah Utes predictions · All Colorado Buffaloes predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 10:30 PM · Final: 27-24

The model's call
Utah Utes to win
Model confidence 85.3%
Books consensus 85.3%
Result Utah Utes won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Utah UtesColorado Buffaloes
BetMGM -700 +550
BetRivers -835 +540
DraftKings -800 +550
ESPN BET -800 +500
Fanatics -800 +550
FanDuel -720 +500
Hard Rock Bet -850 +550
Novig -669 +614
Caesars -800 +550

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Utah −15.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened Utah −14.5
Colorado Buffaloes covered +15.5
Total · closing
O/U 49.5
priced 50.0% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
Over 49.5 (51 scored)
Spread by book UtahColorado
BetMGM −15.5 -112 +15.5 -115
BetRivers −15 -113 +15 -109
DraftKings −15.5 -112 +15.5 -108
ESPN BET −15.5 -115 +15.5 -105
Fanatics −15.5 -110 +15.5 -110
FanDuel −15.5 -104 +15.5 -118
Hard Rock Bet −15.5 -110 +15.5 -110
Caesars −15.5 -110 +15.5 -109
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 49.5 -110 49.5 -108
BetRivers 49.5 -109 49.5 -114
DraftKings 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
ESPN BET 49.5 -105 49.5 -115
Fanatics 50 -110 50 -110
FanDuel 50.5 -108 50.5 -112
Hard Rock Bet 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
Caesars 50 -112 50 -109
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