Nebraska Cornhuskers at Oregon Ducks
All Nebraska Cornhuskers predictions · All Oregon Ducks predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 11:00 PM · Final: 14-17
The model's call
Oregon Ducks to win
Model confidence 68.2%
Books consensus 68.2%
Result Oregon Ducks won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Nebraska Cornhuskers | Oregon Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +195 | -235 |
| BetRivers | +210 | -278 |
| DraftKings | +195 | -238 |
| ESPN BET | +180 | -215 |
| FanDuel | +202 | -250 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +220 | -275 |
| Novig | +217 | -223 |
| Caesars | +200 | -245 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Oregon −6.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 6 books, 1 on another number
Nebraska Cornhuskers covered +6.5
Total · closing
O/U 51.5
priced 48.9% over · 7 books
Under 51.5 (31 scored)
| Spread by book | Nebraska | Oregon |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +6.5 -118 | −6.5 -112 |
| BetRivers | +7 -118 | −7 -108 |
| DraftKings | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +6.5 -120 | −6.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | +6.5 -110 | −6.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +6.5 -105 | −6.5 -120 |
| Caesars | +6.5 -108 | −6.5 -112 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 51.5 -102 | 51.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 51.5 -113 | 51.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 51.5 -105 | 51.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 51.5 +100 | 51.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 51.5 -105 | 51.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 51.5 -112 | 51.5 -108 |
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