Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild

All Columbus Blue Jackets predictions · All Minnesota Wild predictions

NHL · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 6:08 PM · Final: 1-2

The model's call
Minnesota Wild to win
Model confidence 63.2%
Books consensus 63.2%
Result Minnesota Wild won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Columbus Blue JacketsMinnesota Wild
BetMGM +150 -185
BetRivers +160 -195
DraftKings +160 -192
ESPN BET +170 -205
Fanatics +160 -195
FanDuel +160 -194
Hard Rock Bet +140 -180
Novig +174 -182
Caesars +153 -197

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Wild −1.5
priced 41.4% to cover · 7 books
Columbus Blue Jackets covered +1.5
Total · closing
O/U 6.5
priced 47.7% over · 8 books
Under 6.5 (3 scored)
Spread by book Blue JacketsWild
BetMGM +1.5 -155 −1.5 +125
BetRivers +1.5 -165 −1.5 +132
DraftKings +1.5 -155 −1.5 +130
ESPN BET +1.5 -150 −1.5 +125
Fanatics +1.5 -160 −1.5 +130
FanDuel +1.5 -164 −1.5 +132
Hard Rock Bet +1.5 -185 −1.5 +140
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
BetRivers 6.5 +107 6.5 -132
DraftKings 6.5 +102 6.5 -122
ESPN BET 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
Fanatics 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
FanDuel 6.5 +100 6.5 -122
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 +100 6.5 -120
Caesars 6.5 +100 6.5 -125

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue Columbus Blue JacketsMinnesota Wild
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 36.8% 63.2%
Best book price incl. vig 36.5% 64.3%
Kalshi contract price 35.9% 64.1%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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