San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators
All San Jose Sharks predictions · All Ottawa Senators predictions
NHL · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 7:08 PM · Final: 6-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Jose Sharks | Ottawa Senators |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +115 | -135 |
| BetRivers | +112 | -134 |
| DraftKings | +114 | -135 |
| ESPN BET | +110 | -130 |
| Fanatics | +110 | -130 |
| FanDuel | +110 | -132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -135 |
| Novig | +120 | -122 |
| Caesars | +114 | -134 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Sharks | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -220 | −1.5 +180 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -235 | −1.5 +185 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -218 | −1.5 +180 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -225 | −1.5 +180 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -225 | −1.5 +180 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -220 | −1.5 +176 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -250 | −1.5 +180 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -102 | 6.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -106 | 6.5 -117 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Jose Sharks | Ottawa Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 45.5% | 55.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.