Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers
All Dallas Mavericks predictions · All Indiana Pacers predictions
NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 7:13 PM · Final: 121-105
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +225 | -275 |
| BetRivers | +220 | -278 |
| DraftKings | +215 | -265 |
| ESPN BET | +220 | -270 |
| Fanatics | +220 | -275 |
| FanDuel | +215 | -260 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +220 | -275 |
| Novig | +228 | -239 |
| Caesars | +215 | -267 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Mavericks | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +7.5 -115 | −7.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +7.5 -110 | −7.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | +7.5 -115 | −7.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | +7.5 -115 | −7.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +7.5 -115 | −7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +7.5 -118 | −7.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +7.5 -110 | −7.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +7 -115 | −7 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 241.5 -118 | 241.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 242.5 -110 | 242.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 241.5 -110 | 241.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 242.5 -110 | 242.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 242 -110 | 242 -110 |
| FanDuel | 242.5 -105 | 242.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 241.5 -115 | 241.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 242 -110 | 242 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 30.5% | 70.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 30.5% | 69.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.