New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz
All New Orleans Pelicans predictions · All Utah Jazz predictions
NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 9:43 PM · Final: 119-120
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New Orleans Pelicans | Utah Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -105 | -115 |
| BetRivers | -108 | -112 |
| DraftKings | -108 | -112 |
| ESPN BET | -105 | -115 |
| Fanatics | -105 | -115 |
| FanDuel | -104 | -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -115 |
| Novig | -102 | +100 |
| Caesars | +100 | -120 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Pelicans | Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +0.5 -109 | −0.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -118 | −1.5 -102 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | +1 -110 | −1 -110 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -114 | −1.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +1 -115 | −1 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 238.5 -110 | 238.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 239.5 -106 | 239.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | 238.5 -115 | 238.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 239.5 -105 | 239.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 239 -110 | 239 -110 |
| FanDuel | 239.5 -105 | 239.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 239.5 -110 | 239.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 240 -105 | 240 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New Orleans Pelicans | Utah Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.