Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings
All Portland Trail Blazers predictions · All Sacramento Kings predictions
NBA · Friday, October 23, 2026 · 10:11 PM · Final: 128-120
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Portland Trail Blazers | Sacramento Kings |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -450 | +350 |
| BetRivers | -455 | +340 |
| DraftKings | -470 | +360 |
| ESPN BET | -425 | +320 |
| Fanatics | -450 | +340 |
| FanDuel | -450 | +350 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -475 | +350 |
| Novig | -400 | +388 |
| Caesars | -455 | +345 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Trail Blazers | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −10.5 -102 | +10.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | −10.5 -108 | +10.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | −9.5 -110 | +9.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | −9.5 -110 | +9.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −10 -110 | +10 -110 |
| FanDuel | −10.5 -105 | +10.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −9.5 -115 | +9.5 +100 |
| Caesars | −10 -110 | +10 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 232.5 -110 | 232.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 232.5 -109 | 232.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 231.5 -115 | 231.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 232.5 -115 | 232.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 232.5 -110 | 232.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 232.5 -112 | 232.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 232.5 -110 | 232.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 233 -115 | 233 -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Portland Trail Blazers | Sacramento Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 78.6% | 21.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 80.0% | 20.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 78.7% | 21.3% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.