Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Carolina Hurricanes at St Louis Blues

All Carolina Hurricanes predictions · All St Louis Blues predictions

NHL · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 7:08 PM · Final: 4-0

The model's call
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Model confidence 58.2%
Books consensus 58.2%
Result Carolina Hurricanes won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Carolina HurricanesSt Louis Blues
BetMGM -150 +125
BetRivers -162 +135
DraftKings -155 +130
ESPN BET -150 +130
Fanatics -155 +130
FanDuel -152 +126
Hard Rock Bet -160 +125
Novig -141 +138
Caesars -154 +131

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Hurricanes −1.5
priced 36.6% to cover · 7 books
Carolina Hurricanes covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 6.5
priced 45.6% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
Under 6.5 (4 scored)
Spread by book HurricanesBlues
BetMGM −1.5 +155 +1.5 -190
BetRivers −1.5 +155 +1.5 -200
DraftKings −1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
ESPN BET −1.5 +165 +1.5 -200
Fanatics −1.5 +160 +1.5 -200
FanDuel −1.5 +158 +1.5 -196
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 +160 +1.5 -210
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -118 6 -102
BetRivers 6.5 +108 6.5 -134
DraftKings 6.5 +110 6.5 -130
ESPN BET 5.5 -135 5.5 +115
Fanatics 6.5 +110 6.5 -135
FanDuel 6.5 +110 6.5 -134
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 +105 6.5 -130
Caesars 6 -118 6 -104

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue Carolina HurricanesSt Louis Blues
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 58.2% 41.8%
Best book price incl. vig 58.5% 42.0%
Kalshi contract price 58.5% 41.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record