New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets
All New Orleans Pelicans predictions · All Denver Nuggets predictions
NBA · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 9:14 PM · Final: 135-141
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +375 | -500 |
| BetRivers | +340 | -455 |
| DraftKings | +370 | -485 |
| ESPN BET | +380 | -550 |
| Fanatics | +360 | -475 |
| FanDuel | +385 | -500 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +400 | -550 |
| Novig | +388 | -400 |
| Caesars | +360 | -480 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Pelicans | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +11.5 -115 | −11.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +11.5 -112 | −11.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | +11.5 -115 | −11.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | +11.5 -115 | −11.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +11.5 -115 | −11.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +11.5 -115 | −11.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +11.5 -115 | −11.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +11 -110 | −11 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 239.5 -110 | 239.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 240.5 -112 | 240.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 239.5 -110 | 239.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 240.5 -105 | 240.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 239.5 -110 | 239.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 239.5 -110 | 239.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 239.5 -110 | 239.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 240.5 -110 | 240.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 20.4% | 79.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 19.5% | 80.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.