Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks

All Minnesota Wild predictions · All Vancouver Canucks predictions

NHL · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 10:10 PM · Final: 4-2

The model's call
Minnesota Wild to win
Model confidence 64.3%
Books consensus 64.3%
Result Minnesota Wild won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Minnesota WildVancouver Canucks
BetMGM -200 +165
BetRivers -205 +170
DraftKings -205 +170
ESPN BET -195 +165
Fanatics -205 +170
FanDuel -205 +168
Hard Rock Bet -210 +160
Novig -190 +182
Caesars -200 +166

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Wild −1.5
priced 43.2% to cover · 7 books
Minnesota Wild covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 6.5
priced 51.1% over · 8 books
Under 6.5 (6 scored)
Spread by book WildCanucks
BetMGM −1.5 +120 +1.5 -145
BetRivers −1.5 +120 +1.5 -148
DraftKings −1.5 +124 +1.5 -148
ESPN BET −1.5 +130 +1.5 -155
Fanatics −1.5 +130 +1.5 -160
FanDuel −1.5 +116 +1.5 -142
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 +115 +1.5 -145
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6.5 -115 6.5 -105
BetRivers 6.5 -127 6.5 +102
DraftKings 6.5 -115 6.5 -105
ESPN BET 6.5 -110 6.5 -110
Fanatics 6.5 -115 6.5 -105
FanDuel 6.5 -110 6.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 -110 6.5 -110
Caesars 6.5 -118 6.5 -105

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue Minnesota WildVancouver Canucks
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 64.3% 35.7%
Best book price incl. vig 65.5% 35.5%
Kalshi contract price 64.5% 35.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record