Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings
All Memphis Grizzlies predictions · All Sacramento Kings predictions
NBA · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 9:10 PM · Final: 123-112
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Memphis Grizzlies | Sacramento Kings |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -185 | +150 |
| BetRivers | -180 | +148 |
| DraftKings | -180 | +150 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -180 | +150 |
| FanDuel | -176 | +148 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -175 | +145 |
| Novig | -170 | +167 |
| Caesars | -180 | +152 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Grizzlies | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | −4.5 -107 | +4.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | −3.5 -115 | +3.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | −3.5 -115 | +3.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | −4 -110 | +4 -110 |
| FanDuel | −4.5 -105 | +4.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −3.5 -115 | +3.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −4.5 -105 | +4.5 -115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 234.5 -115 | 234.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 235.5 -113 | 235.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | 234.5 -112 | 234.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 234.5 -110 | 234.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 235 -110 | 235 -110 |
| FanDuel | 235.5 -104 | 235.5 -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 234.5 -110 | 234.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Memphis Grizzlies | Sacramento Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 63.0% | 37.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.