Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets
All Golden State Warriors predictions · All Denver Nuggets predictions
NBA · Monday, October 26, 2026 · 10:10 PM · Final: 134-114
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +220 | -275 |
| BetRivers | +235 | -295 |
| DraftKings | +220 | -270 |
| ESPN BET | +220 | -270 |
| Fanatics | +220 | -275 |
| FanDuel | +220 | -270 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +220 | -275 |
| Novig | +228 | -233 |
| Caesars | +215 | -267 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Warriors | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +7.5 -115 | −7.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +7.5 -115 | −7.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | +6.5 -102 | −6.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | +7.5 -115 | −7.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +7 -110 | −7 -110 |
| FanDuel | +7.5 -115 | −7.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +7.5 -115 | −7.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +7 -110 | −7 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 235.5 -110 | 235.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 236.5 -110 | 236.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 236.5 -105 | 236.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 235.5 -105 | 235.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 236 -110 | 236 -110 |
| FanDuel | 236.5 -104 | 236.5 -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 236.5 -105 | 236.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 236 -110 | 236 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 29.9% | 70.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 29.5% | 70.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.