Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Kennesaw State Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

All Kennesaw State Owls predictions · All Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders predictions

College Football · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Final: 44-28

The model's call
Kennesaw State Owls to win
Model confidence 50.4%
Books consensus 50.4%
Result Kennesaw State Owls won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Kennesaw State OwlsMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
BetMGM -110 -108
BetRivers -117 -107
DraftKings -112 -108
ESPN BET -110 -110
Fanatics -110 -110
FanDuel -111 -108
Hard Rock Bet -115 -105
Novig -104 +102
Caesars -112 -107

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Kennesaw State −1.5
priced 48.3% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened Middle Tennessee −3
Kennesaw State Owls covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 49.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
opened 50.5
Over 49.5 (72 scored)
Spread by book Kennesaw StateMiddle Tennessee
BetMGM −1 -108 +1 -110
BetRivers −1 -112 +1 -112
DraftKings −1.5 +100 +1.5 -120
ESPN BET +1.5 -120 −1.5 +100
Fanatics −1 -105 +1 -115
FanDuel −1.5 -104 +1.5 -118
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 -105 +1.5 -115
Caesars −1.5 -102 +1.5 -120
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 49.5 -108 49.5 -110
BetRivers 49.5 -117 49.5 -107
DraftKings 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
ESPN BET 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
Fanatics 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
FanDuel 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 49.5 -115 49.5 -105
Caesars 49.5 -110 49.5 -109
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