Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at New Mexico State Aggies

All Jacksonville State Gamecocks predictions · All New Mexico State Aggies predictions

College Football · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 8:00 PM · Final: 24-0

The model's call
Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win
Model confidence 58.3%
Books consensus 58.3%
Result Jacksonville State Gamecocks won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Jacksonville State GamecocksNew Mexico State Aggies
BetMGM -160 +130
BetRivers -152 +123
DraftKings -155 +130
ESPN BET -165 +140
Fanatics -155 +130
FanDuel -150 +126
Hard Rock Bet -150 +125
Novig -147 +144
Caesars -157 +132

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Jacksonville State −3
priced 50.2% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
Jacksonville State Gamecocks covered −3
Total · closing
O/U 50.5
priced 49.5% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 49.5
Under 50.5 (24 scored)
Spread by book Jacksonville StateNew Mexico State
BetMGM −3 -110 +3 -108
BetRivers −3 -118 +3 -105
DraftKings −3 -110 +3 -110
ESPN BET −3.5 +100 +3.5 -120
Fanatics −3 -110 +3 -110
FanDuel −3.5 +102 +3.5 -124
Hard Rock Bet −3.5 -105 +3.5 -120
Caesars −3 -113 +3 -108
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 49.5 -120 49.5 -110
BetRivers 50.5 -109 50.5 -114
DraftKings 50.5 -108 50.5 -112
ESPN BET 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
Fanatics 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
FanDuel 50.5 -106 50.5 -114
Hard Rock Bet 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
Caesars 50.5 -107 50.5 -113
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