Florida Atlantic Owls at North Texas Mean Green
All Florida Atlantic Owls predictions · All North Texas Mean Green predictions
College Football · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 7:36 PM · Final: 41-48
The model's call
North Texas Mean Green to win
Model confidence 82.5%
Books consensus 82.5%
Result North Texas Mean Green won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Florida Atlantic Owls | North Texas Mean Green |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +450 | -600 |
| BetRivers | +390 | -560 |
| DraftKings | +455 | -625 |
| ESPN BET | +475 | -750 |
| Fanatics | +440 | -600 |
| FanDuel | +450 | -610 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +425 | -650 |
| Novig | +488 | -506 |
| Caesars | +425 | -590 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
North Texas −15.5
priced 49.6% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened North Texas −13.5
Florida Atlantic Owls covered +15.5
Total · closing
O/U 78.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
opened 75.5
Over 78.5 (89 scored)
| Spread by book | Florida Atlantic | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +15 -108 | −15 -110 |
| BetRivers | +14.5 -114 | −14.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | +15.5 -112 | −15.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +15.5 -115 | −15.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +15.5 -110 | −15.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +15.5 -112 | −15.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +14.5 -110 | −14.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +15.5 -110 | −15.5 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 78.5 -110 | 78.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 78.5 -112 | 78.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 78.5 -108 | 78.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 78.5 -110 | 78.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 78.5 -110 | 78.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 78.5 -110 | 78.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 78.5 -110 | 78.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 78.5 -105 | 78.5 -115 |
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