Troy Trojans at James Madison Dukes
All Troy Trojans predictions · All James Madison Dukes predictions
College Football · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 7:40 PM · Final: 24-21
The model's call
James Madison Dukes to win
Model confidence 88.8%
Books consensus 88.8%
Result Troy Trojans won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Troy Trojans | James Madison Dukes |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +775 | -1100 |
| BetRivers | +800 | -1667 |
| DraftKings | +675 | -1050 |
| ESPN BET | +700 | -1200 |
| Fanatics | +750 | -1200 |
| FanDuel | +760 | -1200 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +800 | -1600 |
| Novig | +900 | -953 |
| Caesars | +750 | -1250 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
James Madison −17.5
priced 51.1% to cover · 3 books, 5 on another number
opened James Madison −21
Troy Trojans covered +17.5
Total · closing
O/U 51.5
priced 50.9% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 52.5
Under 51.5 (45 scored)
| Spread by book | Troy | James Madison |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +18.5 -108 | −18.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +19 -110 | −19 -112 |
| DraftKings | +17.5 -105 | −17.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | +17.5 -115 | −17.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +18 -110 | −18 -110 |
| FanDuel | +18.5 -110 | −18.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +19.5 -110 | −19.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +17.5 -102 | −17.5 -120 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 50.5 -117 | 50.5 -107 |
| DraftKings | 52.5 -105 | 52.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 51.5 -115 | 51.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 51.5 -114 | 51.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 51.5 -118 | 51.5 -105 |
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