Baylor Bears at UCF Knights
All Baylor Bears predictions · All UCF Knights predictions
College Football · Friday, October 30, 2026 · 7:30 PM
The model's call
Baylor Bears to win
Model confidence 53.2%
Books consensus 53.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Baylor Bears | UCF Knights |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -120 | +100 |
| BetRivers | -132 | +108 |
| DraftKings | -125 | +105 |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +105 |
| Fanatics | -120 | +100 |
| FanDuel | -126 | +104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -130 | +110 |
| Novig | -115 | +113 |
| Caesars | -122 | +104 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Baylor −1.5
priced 50.2% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
Total
O/U 49.5
priced 49.7% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 48.5
| Spread by book | Baylor | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | −2 -113 | +2 -110 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -112 | +1.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | −2.5 -106 | +2.5 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −2.5 -105 | +2.5 -115 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 49.5 -108 | 49.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 49.5 -107 | 49.5 -117 |
| DraftKings | 49.5 -108 | 49.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 49.5 -105 | 49.5 -115 |
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