Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Kent State Golden Flashes at Sacramento State Hornets

All Kent State Golden Flashes predictions · All Sacramento State Hornets predictions

College Football · Friday, October 30, 2026 · 10:30 PM

The model's call
Kent State Golden Flashes to win
Model confidence 71.7%
Books consensus 71.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Kent State Golden FlashesSacramento State Hornets
BetMGM -285 +230
BetRivers -335 +250
DraftKings -278 +225
ESPN BET -290 +240
Fanatics -300 +240
FanDuel -275 +220
Hard Rock Bet -325 +250
Novig -264 +257
Caesars -295 +235

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Kent State −7.5
priced 48.7% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened Kent State −10.5
Total
O/U 46.5
priced 50.5% over · 8 books
Spread by book Kent StateSacramento State
BetMGM −7.5 -102 +7.5 -115
BetRivers −8 -110 +8 -113
DraftKings −7.5 -105 +7.5 -115
ESPN BET −7.5 -115 +7.5 -105
Fanatics −7 -115 +7 -105
FanDuel −7.5 +100 +7.5 -122
Hard Rock Bet −7.5 -115 +7.5 -105
Caesars −7.5 -102 +7.5 -120
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 46.5 -110 46.5 -108
BetRivers 46.5 -115 46.5 -108
DraftKings 46.5 -115 46.5 -105
ESPN BET 46.5 -115 46.5 -105
Fanatics 46.5 -110 46.5 -110
FanDuel 46.5 -110 46.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 46.5 -115 46.5 -105
Caesars 46.5 -112 46.5 -112
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