Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Arizona Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders

All Arizona Wildcats predictions · All Texas Tech Red Raiders predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Texas Tech Red Raiders to win
Model confidence 61.4%
Books consensus 61.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Arizona WildcatsTexas Tech Red Raiders
BetMGM +150 -185
BetRivers +138 -177
DraftKings +150 -180
ESPN BET +150 -175
Fanatics +150 -180
FanDuel +142 -172
Hard Rock Bet +145 -175
Novig +163 -167
Caesars +135 -165

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Texas Tech −3.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 54.5
priced 49.8% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book ArizonaTexas Tech
BetMGM +4 -118 −4 -110
BetRivers +3.5 -114 −3.5 -109
DraftKings +3.5 -108 −3.5 -112
ESPN BET +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
Fanatics +3.5 -105 −3.5 -115
FanDuel +3.5 -105 −3.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
Caesars +3.5 -112 −3.5 -108
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 54.5 -108 54.5 -110
BetRivers 55 -109 55 -113
DraftKings 54.5 -105 54.5 -115
ESPN BET 54.5 -105 54.5 -115
Fanatics 54.5 -110 54.5 -110
FanDuel 54.5 -110 54.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 54.5 -115 54.5 -105
Caesars 54.5 -106 54.5 -114
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