Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Bowling Green Falcons at Western Michigan Broncos

All Bowling Green Falcons predictions · All Western Michigan Broncos predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Western Michigan Broncos to win
Model confidence 81.5%
Books consensus 81.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Bowling Green FalconsWestern Michigan Broncos
BetMGM +425 -550
BetRivers +440 -670
DraftKings +410 -550
ESPN BET +380 -550
Fanatics +410 -550
FanDuel +420 -550
Hard Rock Bet +450 -650
Novig +471 -488
Caesars +400 -530

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Western Michigan −13.5
priced 50.1% to cover · 8 books
opened Western Michigan −14
Total
O/U 44.5
priced 49.6% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 43.5
Spread by book Bowling GreenWestern Michigan
BetMGM +13.5 -108 −13.5 -110
BetRivers +13.5 -112 −13.5 -112
DraftKings +13.5 -105 −13.5 -115
ESPN BET +13.5 -115 −13.5 -105
Fanatics +13.5 -105 −13.5 -115
FanDuel +13.5 -115 −13.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet +13.5 -110 −13.5 -110
Caesars +13.5 -108 −13.5 -112
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 44.5 -108 44.5 -110
BetRivers 43.5 -114 43.5 -108
DraftKings 44.5 -108 44.5 -112
ESPN BET 44.5 -110 44.5 -110
Fanatics 44.5 -105 44.5 -115
FanDuel 44.5 -108 44.5 -112
Hard Rock Bet 43.5 -110 43.5 -105
Caesars 44.5 -108 44.5 -112
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