Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

California Golden Bears at NC State Wolfpack

All California Golden Bears predictions · All NC State Wolfpack predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
NC State Wolfpack to win
Model confidence 70.1%
Books consensus 70.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book California Golden BearsNC State Wolfpack
BetMGM +220 -275
BetRivers +210 -275
DraftKings +215 -265
ESPN BET +210 -250
Fanatics +220 -275
FanDuel +235 -285
Hard Rock Bet +210 -260
Novig +251 -257
Caesars +220 -275

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
NC State −7.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened NC State −8.5
Total
O/U 56.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
opened 57.5
Spread by book CaliforniaNC State
BetMGM +7.5 -115 −7.5 -105
BetRivers +7 -113 −7 -110
DraftKings +7 -108 −7 -112
ESPN BET +7.5 -120 −7.5 +100
Fanatics +7.5 -115 −7.5 -105
FanDuel +7.5 -108 −7.5 -112
Hard Rock Bet +6.5 +110 −6.5 -130
Caesars +7 -108 −7 -111
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 56.5 -108 56.5 -110
BetRivers 56.5 -112 56.5 -112
DraftKings 56.5 -112 56.5 -108
ESPN BET 56.5 -110 56.5 -110
Fanatics 56.5 -110 56.5 -110
FanDuel 56.5 -110 56.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 56.5 -110 56.5 -110
Caesars 56.5 -110 56.5 -109
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