Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Illinois Fighting Illini at Maryland Terrapins

All Illinois Fighting Illini predictions · All Maryland Terrapins predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Illinois Fighting Illini to win
Model confidence 54.8%
Books consensus 54.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Illinois Fighting IlliniMaryland Terrapins
BetMGM -140 +115
BetRivers -125 +102
DraftKings -135 +114
ESPN BET -130 +110
Fanatics -130 +110
FanDuel -134 +112
Hard Rock Bet -125 +100
Novig -125 +122
Caesars -134 +114

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Illinois −2.5
priced 51.1% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 54.5
priced 48.9% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 52.5
Spread by book IllinoisMaryland
BetMGM −2.5 -115 +2.5 -102
BetRivers −2 -110 +2 -113
DraftKings −2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
ESPN BET −2.5 -110 +2.5 -110
Fanatics −2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
FanDuel −2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 -115 +1.5 -105
Caesars −2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 53.5 -112 53.5 -105
BetRivers 54.5 -108 54.5 -115
DraftKings 54.5 -105 54.5 -115
ESPN BET 54.5 -105 54.5 -115
Fanatics 54 -110 54 -110
FanDuel 53.5 -110 53.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 54.5 -105 54.5 -115
Caesars 54.5 -108 54.5 -113
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