Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes
All Wisconsin Badgers predictions · All Iowa Hawkeyes predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM
The model's call
Iowa Hawkeyes to win
Model confidence 55.3%
Books consensus 55.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Wisconsin Badgers | Iowa Hawkeyes |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +115 | -140 |
| BetRivers | +112 | -141 |
| DraftKings | +114 | -135 |
| ESPN BET | +115 | -135 |
| Fanatics | +110 | -130 |
| FanDuel | +114 | -137 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +115 | -140 |
| Novig | +117 | -120 |
| Caesars | +114 | -134 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Iowa −2.5
priced 51.4% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened Iowa −3.5
Total
O/U 36.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
| Spread by book | Wisconsin | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +2.5 -102 | −2.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | +2.5 -110 | −2.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | +2.5 -102 | −2.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | +2.5 +100 | −2.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | +2.5 -110 | −2.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 +104 | −1.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2.5 -110 | −2.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +2.5 -104 | −2.5 -117 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 36.5 -108 | 36.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 36.5 -112 | 36.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 36.5 -108 | 36.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 36.5 -114 | 36.5 -106 |
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