Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Navy Midshipmen

All Notre Dame Fighting Irish predictions · All Navy Midshipmen predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Model confidence 95.4%
Books consensus 95.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Notre Dame Fighting IrishNavy Midshipmen
BetMGM -12500 +3500
BetRivers -10000 +2000
DraftKings -6500 +2000
ESPN BET -7500 +2000
Fanatics -8000 +2800
FanDuel -10000 +2200
Hard Rock Bet -10000 +2000
Novig -3604 +3233
Caesars -10000 +1800

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Notre Dame −30.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened Notre Dame −29.5
Total
O/U 56.5
priced 49.6% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 54.5
Spread by book Notre DameNavy
BetMGM −30 -118 +30 -112
BetRivers −31 -108 +31 -115
DraftKings −30.5 -110 +30.5 -110
ESPN BET −30.5 -115 +30.5 -105
Fanatics −30.5 -110 +30.5 -110
FanDuel −30.5 -110 +30.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −30.5 -115 +30.5 -105
Caesars −30.5 -112 +30.5 -112
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 56.5 -110 56.5 -108
BetRivers 57 -113 57 -110
DraftKings 56.5 -108 56.5 -112
ESPN BET 56.5 +100 56.5 -120
Fanatics 56.5 -110 56.5 -110
FanDuel 57.5 -104 57.5 -118
Hard Rock Bet 57.5 -105 57.5 -115
Caesars 56.5 -107 56.5 -113
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