Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

SMU Mustangs at Syracuse Orange

All SMU Mustangs predictions · All Syracuse Orange predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM

The model's call
SMU Mustangs to win
Model confidence 75.8%
Books consensus 75.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book SMU MustangsSyracuse Orange
BetMGM -375 +300
BetRivers -375 +275
DraftKings -380 +300
ESPN BET -425 +320
Fanatics -375 +290
FanDuel -375 +290
Hard Rock Bet -375 +275
Novig -335 +326
Caesars -380 +295

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
SMU −10.5
priced 49.8% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened SMU −9.5
Total
O/U 58.5
priced 49.1% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
Spread by book SMUSyracuse
BetMGM −10.5 -108 +10.5 -110
BetRivers −10 -112 +10 -112
DraftKings −10.5 -108 +10.5 -112
ESPN BET −10.5 -115 +10.5 -105
Fanatics −10.5 -110 +10.5 -110
FanDuel −9.5 -122 +9.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet −9.5 -120 +9.5 +100
Caesars −10.5 -104 +10.5 -117
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 58.5 -105 58.5 -112
BetRivers 57.5 -113 57.5 -110
DraftKings 58.5 -105 58.5 -115
ESPN BET 58.5 -105 58.5 -115
Fanatics 58 -110 58 -110
FanDuel 58.5 -108 58.5 -112
Hard Rock Bet 57.5 -110 57.5 -110
Caesars 58 -113 58 -107
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