Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

UConn Huskies at Air Force Falcons

All UConn Huskies predictions · All Air Force Falcons predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 3:00 PM

The model's call
UConn Huskies to win
Model confidence 50.0%
Books consensus 50.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book UConn HuskiesAir Force Falcons
BetMGM +100 -118
BetRivers -113 -109
DraftKings -105 -115
ESPN BET -105 -115
Fanatics -110 -110
FanDuel -110 -108
Hard Rock Bet -110 -110
Novig -102 +100
Caesars -105 -113

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Air Force −1.5
priced 48.2% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened Air Force −3
Total
O/U 51.5
priced 50.0% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened 53.5
Spread by book UConnAir Force
BetMGM +1.5 -108 −1.5 -110
BetRivers +0.5 -114 −0.5 -109
DraftKings +1.5 -120 −1.5 +100
ESPN BET +1.5 -120 −1.5 +100
Fanatics +1.5 -115 −1.5 -105
FanDuel +1.5 -122 −1.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 +100 +1.5 -120
Caesars +1.5 -117 −1.5 -104
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 51.5 -112 51.5 -108
BetRivers 51.5 -109 51.5 -113
DraftKings 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
ESPN BET 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
Fanatics 52 -110 52 -110
FanDuel 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
Caesars 51.5 -115 51.5 -105
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