Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Stanford Cardinal at Louisville Cardinals

All Stanford Cardinal predictions · All Louisville Cardinals predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 3:15 PM

The model's call
Louisville Cardinals to win
Model confidence 91.9%
Books consensus 91.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Stanford CardinalLouisville Cardinals
BetMGM +1100 -2000
BetRivers +1000 -2500
DraftKings +1100 -2100
ESPN BET +1200 -3000
Fanatics +1050 -1800
FanDuel +1000 -2000
Hard Rock Bet +1000 -2500
Novig +1329 -1438
Caesars +1100 -2500

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Louisville −22.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 60.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
opened 61.5
Spread by book StanfordLouisville
BetMGM +22.5 -110 −22.5 -108
BetRivers +23.5 -109 −23.5 -114
DraftKings +22.5 -110 −22.5 -110
ESPN BET +22.5 -110 −22.5 -110
Fanatics +22.5 -110 −22.5 -110
FanDuel +22.5 -110 −22.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +23.5 -110 −23.5 -110
Caesars +22.5 -112 −22.5 -108
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 60.5 -108 60.5 -110
BetRivers 60.5 -115 60.5 -108
DraftKings 60.5 -110 60.5 -110
ESPN BET 60.5 -110 60.5 -110
Fanatics 60.5 -110 60.5 -110
FanDuel 60.5 -110 60.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 60.5 -115 60.5 -105
Caesars 60.5 -107 60.5 -113
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