Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Indiana Hoosiers

All Minnesota Golden Gophers predictions · All Indiana Hoosiers predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 3:30 PM

The model's call
Indiana Hoosiers to win
Model confidence 90.0%
Books consensus 90.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Minnesota Golden GophersIndiana Hoosiers
BetMGM +950 -1400
BetRivers +850 -1667
DraftKings +850 -1450
ESPN BET +900 -1800
Fanatics +850 -1400
FanDuel +1100 -2300
Hard Rock Bet +850 -1600
Novig +1150 -1233
Caesars +850 -1450

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Indiana −20.5
priced 50.3% to cover · 8 books
opened Indiana −19.5
Total
O/U 41.5
priced 49.0% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened 42.5
Spread by book MinnesotaIndiana
BetMGM +20.5 -108 −20.5 -110
BetRivers +20.5 -110 −20.5 -113
DraftKings +20.5 -108 −20.5 -112
ESPN BET +20.5 -110 −20.5 -110
Fanatics +20.5 -105 −20.5 -115
FanDuel +20.5 -110 −20.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +20.5 -110 −20.5 -110
Caesars +20.5 -107 −20.5 -113
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 41.5 -105 41.5 -125
BetRivers 41.5 -112 41.5 -112
DraftKings 40.5 -118 40.5 -102
ESPN BET 40.5 -110 40.5 -110
Fanatics 41 -110 41 -110
FanDuel 41.5 -102 41.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet 41.5 -110 41.5 -110
Caesars 41 -110 41 -109
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