Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Northwestern Wildcats at Oregon Ducks

All Northwestern Wildcats predictions · All Oregon Ducks predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 3:30 PM

The model's call
Oregon Ducks to win
Model confidence 60.7%
Books consensus 60.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Northwestern WildcatsOregon Ducks
BetMGM +140 -175
BetRivers +133 -167
DraftKings +145 -175
ESPN BET +145 -170
Fanatics +145 -175
FanDuel +134 -160
Hard Rock Bet +135 -165
Novig +156 -160
Caesars +147 -173

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Oregon −3.5
priced 49.9% to cover · 8 books
Total
O/U 47.5
priced 49.2% over · 8 books
opened 49.5
Spread by book NorthwesternOregon
BetMGM +3.5 -110 −3.5 -108
BetRivers +3.5 -118 −3.5 -106
DraftKings +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
ESPN BET +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
Fanatics +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
FanDuel +3.5 -110 −3.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +3.5 -115 −3.5 -105
Caesars +3.5 -112 −3.5 -109
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
BetRivers 47.5 -107 47.5 -115
DraftKings 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
ESPN BET 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Fanatics 47.5 -105 47.5 -115
FanDuel 47.5 -106 47.5 -114
Hard Rock Bet 47.5 -105 47.5 -115
Caesars 47.5 -107 47.5 -114
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