Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Utah Utes at Cincinnati Bearcats

All Utah Utes predictions · All Cincinnati Bearcats predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 3:45 PM

The model's call
Utah Utes to win
Model confidence 70.1%
Books consensus 70.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Utah UtesCincinnati Bearcats
BetMGM -275 +220
BetRivers -275 +205
DraftKings -270 +220
ESPN BET -280 +230
Fanatics -275 +220
FanDuel -275 +225
Hard Rock Bet -275 +210
Novig -257 +245
Caesars -265 +215

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Utah −7
priced 50.6% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Utah −6.5
Total
O/U 56.5
priced 50.0% over · 8 books
opened 57.5
Spread by book UtahCincinnati
BetMGM −7 -112 +7 -105
BetRivers −7 -114 +7 -108
DraftKings −7 -112 +7 -108
ESPN BET −7.5 +100 +7.5 -120
Fanatics −7 -115 +7 -105
FanDuel −7.5 -105 +7.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet −7.5 +100 +7.5 -120
Caesars −7 -108 +7 -112
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 56.5 -108 56.5 -112
BetRivers 56.5 -109 56.5 -114
DraftKings 56.5 -110 56.5 -110
ESPN BET 56.5 -110 56.5 -110
Fanatics 56.5 -110 56.5 -110
FanDuel 56.5 -105 56.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet 56.5 -110 56.5 -110
Caesars 56.5 -113 56.5 -108
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