Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

New Mexico Lobos at San Jose State Spartans

All New Mexico Lobos predictions · All San Jose State Spartans predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM

The model's call
New Mexico Lobos to win
Model confidence 84.0%
Books consensus 84.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book New Mexico LobosSan Jose State Spartans
BetMGM -650 +500
BetRivers -835 +525
DraftKings -650 +470
ESPN BET -700 +450
Fanatics -700 +500
FanDuel -780 +550
Hard Rock Bet -850 +525
Novig -590 +567
Caesars -675 +475

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
New Mexico −14.5
priced 50.3% to cover · 4 books, 4 on another number
Total
O/U 42.5
priced 50.0% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
opened 41.5
Spread by book New MexicoSan Jose State
BetMGM −14.5 -118 +14.5 -112
BetRivers −15 -110 +15 -113
DraftKings −14.5 -115 +14.5 -105
ESPN BET −15.5 -105 +15.5 -115
Fanatics −15 -110 +15 -110
FanDuel −14.5 -110 +14.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −14.5 -110 +14.5 -110
Caesars −15 -109 +15 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 42.5 -110 42.5 -108
BetRivers 41.5 -113 41.5 -110
DraftKings 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
ESPN BET 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
Fanatics 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
FanDuel 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 41.5 -110 41.5 -110
Caesars 42.5 -107 42.5 -113
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