Purdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions
All Purdue Boilermakers predictions · All Penn State Nittany Lions predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:15 PM
The model's call
Penn State Nittany Lions to win
Model confidence 76.2%
Books consensus 76.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Purdue Boilermakers | Penn State Nittany Lions |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +310 | -375 |
| BetRivers | +290 | -400 |
| DraftKings | +295 | -375 |
| ESPN BET | +290 | -380 |
| Fanatics | +310 | -400 |
| FanDuel | +330 | -430 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +300 | -400 |
| Novig | +344 | -355 |
| Caesars | +295 | -380 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Penn State −10.5
priced 49.9% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Penn State −7.5
Total
O/U 54.5
priced 50.1% over · 8 books
opened 53.5
| Spread by book | Purdue | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | +10 -109 | −10 -114 |
| DraftKings | +10 -105 | −10 -115 |
| ESPN BET | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +11.5 -115 | −11.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +10.5 -115 | −10.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 54.5 -110 | 54.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 54.5 -112 | 54.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 54.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 54.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 54.5 -110 | 54.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 54.5 -114 | 54.5 -107 |
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