Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones

All Oklahoma State Cowboys predictions · All Iowa State Cyclones predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:00 PM

The model's call
Oklahoma State Cowboys to win
Model confidence 75.5%
Books consensus 75.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Oklahoma State CowboysIowa State Cyclones
BetMGM -375 +290
BetRivers -400 +295
DraftKings -375 +295
ESPN BET -340 +270
Fanatics -375 +290
FanDuel -345 +275
Hard Rock Bet -400 +300
Novig -317 +300
Caesars -360 +280

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Oklahoma State −9.5
priced 50.4% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
opened Oklahoma State −10
Total
O/U 57.5
priced 50.8% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
Spread by book Oklahoma StateIowa State
BetMGM −10 -110 +10 -120
BetRivers −9.5 -113 +9.5 -110
DraftKings −9.5 -118 +9.5 -102
ESPN BET −9.5 -120 +9.5 +100
Fanatics −9.5 -110 +9.5 -110
FanDuel −9.5 -112 +9.5 -108
Hard Rock Bet −9.5 -110 +9.5 -110
Caesars −9.5 -115 +9.5 -105
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 57.5 -112 57.5 -105
BetRivers 58.5 -106 58.5 -118
DraftKings 57.5 -115 57.5 -105
ESPN BET 57.5 -115 57.5 -105
Fanatics 57.5 -110 57.5 -110
FanDuel 58.5 -102 58.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet 58.5 -105 58.5 -115
Caesars 57.5 -110 57.5 -109
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