Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas Longhorns
All Mississippi State Bulldogs predictions · All Texas Longhorns predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:30 PM
The model's call
Texas Longhorns to win
Model confidence 90.0%
Books consensus 90.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Texas Longhorns |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +900 | -1400 |
| BetRivers | +850 | -1667 |
| DraftKings | +850 | -1450 |
| ESPN BET | +900 | -1800 |
| Fanatics | +850 | -1400 |
| FanDuel | +890 | -1450 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +850 | -1600 |
| Novig | +1011 | -1076 |
| Caesars | +800 | -1450 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Texas −20.5
priced 49.9% to cover · 6 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 50.5
priced 50.9% over · 8 books
opened 51.5
| Spread by book | Mississippi State | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +20 -110 | −20 -108 |
| BetRivers | +20.5 -109 | −20.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | +20.5 -115 | −20.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | +19.5 -105 | −19.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | +20.5 -110 | −20.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +20.5 -114 | −20.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +20.5 -110 | −20.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +20.5 -110 | −20.5 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 50.5 -112 | 50.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -109 |
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