Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Ohio State Buckeyes at USC Trojans

All Ohio State Buckeyes predictions · All USC Trojans predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:30 PM

The model's call
Ohio State Buckeyes to win
Model confidence 68.1%
Books consensus 68.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Ohio State BuckeyesUSC Trojans
BetMGM -235 +200
BetRivers -275 +210
DraftKings -245 +200
ESPN BET -240 +200
Fanatics -245 +200
FanDuel -225 +188
Hard Rock Bet -260 +210
Novig -217 +213
Caesars -245 +200

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Ohio State −6.5
priced 51.1% to cover · 8 books
opened Ohio State −7
Total
O/U 51.5
priced 49.2% over · 8 books
opened 50.5
Spread by book Ohio StateUSC
BetMGM −6.5 -120 +6.5 -108
BetRivers −6.5 -121 +6.5 -107
DraftKings −6.5 -115 +6.5 -105
ESPN BET −6.5 -115 +6.5 -105
Fanatics −6.5 -115 +6.5 -105
FanDuel −6.5 -110 +6.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −6.5 -120 +6.5 +100
Caesars −6.5 -115 +6.5 -105
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 51.5 -105 51.5 -112
BetRivers 51.5 -108 51.5 -115
DraftKings 51.5 -108 51.5 -112
ESPN BET 51.5 +100 51.5 -120
Fanatics 51.5 -105 51.5 -115
FanDuel 51.5 -108 51.5 -112
Hard Rock Bet 51.5 -105 51.5 -115
Caesars 51.5 -112 51.5 -108
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