Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Missouri Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks

All Missouri Tigers predictions · All Arkansas Razorbacks predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:45 PM

The model's call
Missouri Tigers to win
Model confidence 76.2%
Books consensus 76.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Missouri TigersArkansas Razorbacks
BetMGM -375 +300
BetRivers -435 +310
DraftKings -380 +300
ESPN BET -400 +300
Fanatics -400 +310
FanDuel -385 +310
Hard Rock Bet -400 +300
Novig -344 +335
Caesars -390 +300

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Missouri −10
priced 50.4% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Missouri −9.5
Total
O/U 48.5
priced 49.7% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened 49.5
Spread by book MissouriArkansas
BetMGM −10 -112 +10 -105
BetRivers −10 -114 +10 -109
DraftKings −10 -112 +10 -108
ESPN BET −9.5 -120 +9.5 +100
Fanatics −10 -110 +10 -110
FanDuel −10.5 -105 +10.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet −9.5 -120 +9.5 +100
Caesars −10 -108 +10 -112
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 48.5 -105 48.5 -115
BetRivers 49 -110 49 -113
DraftKings 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
ESPN BET 47.5 -120 47.5 +100
Fanatics 48.5 -107 48.5 -110
FanDuel 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 48.5 -115 48.5 -105
Caesars 48.5 -108 48.5 -112
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