Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Army Black Knights at Memphis Tigers

All Army Black Knights predictions · All Memphis Tigers predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 8:00 PM

The model's call
Memphis Tigers to win
Model confidence 65.9%
Books consensus 65.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Army Black KnightsMemphis Tigers
BetMGM +180 -220
BetRivers +185 -235
DraftKings +180 -218
ESPN BET +175 -210
Fanatics +185 -225
FanDuel +184 -220
Hard Rock Bet +175 -220
Novig +190 -199
Caesars +187 -230

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Memphis −6.5
priced 49.6% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
Total
O/U 59.5
priced 50.3% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened 58.5
Spread by book ArmyMemphis
BetMGM +6.5 -110 −6.5 -108
BetRivers +6 -113 −6 -110
DraftKings +6.5 -112 −6.5 -108
ESPN BET +6.5 -115 −6.5 -105
Fanatics +6.5 -110 −6.5 -110
FanDuel +5.5 -102 −5.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet +5.5 -105 −5.5 -115
Caesars +6.5 -113 −6.5 -108
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 59.5 -110 59.5 -108
BetRivers 59.5 -113 59.5 -110
DraftKings 60.5 -108 60.5 -112
ESPN BET 60.5 -110 60.5 -110
Fanatics 60 -110 60 -110
FanDuel 59.5 -115 59.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet 59.5 -110 59.5 -110
Caesars 60 -113 60 -107
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