Texas State Bobcats at Boise State Broncos
All Texas State Bobcats predictions · All Boise State Broncos predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 10:00 PM
The model's call
Boise State Broncos to win
Model confidence 78.3%
Books consensus 78.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Texas State Bobcats | Boise State Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +340 | -450 |
| BetRivers | +350 | -500 |
| DraftKings | +330 | -425 |
| ESPN BET | +320 | -425 |
| Fanatics | +340 | -450 |
| FanDuel | +350 | -450 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +350 | -475 |
| Novig | +365 | -376 |
| Caesars | +340 | -460 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Boise State −10.5
priced 51.1% to cover · 5 books, 3 on another number
opened Boise State −11.5
Total
O/U 63.5
priced 50.6% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
| Spread by book | Texas State | Boise State |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +10.5 -108 | −10.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +12 -110 | −12 -112 |
| DraftKings | +10.5 -105 | −10.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +11 -110 | −11 -110 |
| FanDuel | +10.5 -105 | −10.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +11.5 -105 | −11.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +10.5 -105 | −10.5 -115 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 63.5 -110 | 63.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 64.5 -113 | 64.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 64.5 -105 | 64.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 63.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 64.5 -110 | 64.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 63.5 -113 | 63.5 -107 |
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