Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

New York Islanders at Nashville Predators

All New York Islanders predictions · All Nashville Predators predictions

NHL · Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · 8:10 PM · Final: 4-3

The model's call
Nashville Predators to win
Model confidence 52.2%
Books consensus 52.2%
Result New York Islanders won model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book New York IslandersNashville Predators
BetMGM -105 -118
BetRivers +104 -122
DraftKings +102 -122
ESPN BET -105 -115
Fanatics +100 -120
FanDuel +100 -120
Hard Rock Bet -110 -120
Novig +106 -108
Caesars +101 -120

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Predators −1.5
priced 31.5% to cover · 7 books
New York Islanders covered +1.5
Total · closing
O/U 5.5
priced 52.2% over · 8 books
Over 5.5 (7 scored)
Spread by book IslandersPredators
BetMGM +1.5 -275 −1.5 +195
BetRivers +1.5 -275 −1.5 +210
DraftKings +1.5 -250 −1.5 +205
ESPN BET +1.5 -325 −1.5 +220
Fanatics +1.5 -255 −1.5 +200
FanDuel +1.5 -250 −1.5 +198
Hard Rock Bet +1.5 -325 −1.5 +210
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 5.5 -125 5.5 -105
BetRivers 5.5 -113 5.5 -109
DraftKings 5.5 -120 5.5 +100
ESPN BET 5.5 -120 5.5 +100
Fanatics 5.5 -120 5.5 +100
FanDuel 5.5 -122 5.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet 5.5 -115 5.5 -105
Caesars 5.5 -124 5.5 +101

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue New York IslandersNashville Predators
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 47.8% 52.2%
Best book price incl. vig 48.5% 51.9%
Kalshi contract price 48.5% 51.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts involve risk; this is not investment advice.

Back to today's board · The full record