Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks

All Vancouver Canucks predictions · All Anaheim Ducks predictions

NHL · Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · 10:10 PM · Final: 6-5

The model's call
Anaheim Ducks to win
Model confidence 65.7%
Books consensus 65.7%
Result Vancouver Canucks won model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Vancouver CanucksAnaheim Ducks
BetMGM +180 -220
BetRivers +188 -230
DraftKings +180 -218
ESPN BET +175 -210
Fanatics +180 -220
FanDuel +180 -225
Hard Rock Bet +165 -220
Novig +186 -190
Caesars +175 -215

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Ducks −1.5
priced 45.3% to cover · 7 books
Vancouver Canucks covered +1.5
Total · closing
O/U 6.5
priced 55.2% over · 8 books
Over 6.5 (11 scored)
Spread by book CanucksDucks
BetMGM +1.5 -130 −1.5 +110
BetRivers +1.5 -137 −1.5 +110
DraftKings +1.5 -130 −1.5 +110
ESPN BET +1.5 -145 −1.5 +120
Fanatics +1.5 -135 −1.5 +110
FanDuel +1.5 -130 −1.5 +106
Hard Rock Bet +1.5 -145 −1.5 +115
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6.5 -125 6.5 +105
BetRivers 6.5 -129 6.5 +104
DraftKings 6.5 -135 6.5 +114
ESPN BET 6.5 -135 6.5 +115
Fanatics 6.5 -140 6.5 +115
FanDuel 6.5 -140 6.5 +114
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 -130 6.5 +105
Caesars 6.5 -160 6.5 +120

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue Vancouver CanucksAnaheim Ducks
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 34.3% 65.7%
Best book price incl. vig 34.7% 65.5%
Kalshi contract price 33.5% 66.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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